GDP’s reliability as a measure of economic performance has been increasingly undermined by rapid digitalisation of production and consumption between 2010 and 2024, particularly through the under-capture of intangible assets and cross-border digital value flows. Using secondary data from the IMF, OECD, and World Bank alongside simulated datasets, the study identifies structural...

Mr. Trump began his second term as President of the USA in January 2025 As he had during the presidential campaign, he stated his main economic objectives, with a key one being to reduce the size of the US current account balance of payments deficit. He implemented or stated his preference for the design of a range of economic policies including fiscal policy, monetary policy a...

The study integrates human capital theory, Okun’s Law, and capital accumulation, using econometric tools such as the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modelling, and Error Correction Model (ECM) to analyse the unemployment-GDP growth relationship in Pakistan. GDP growth, labour force participation, and fixed capital formation are stationa...

This article evaluates the impact of trade liberalisation on the informal economy in the BRICS countries, which have significant unorganised sectors and trade policy changes. The article uses panel data from 1996 to 2015 to measure informality based on the method of Kaufmann and Kaliberda, which estimates the size of the informal sector as the difference between official GDP an...

This study highlights that India’s emissions reporting systems are characterised by sectoral blind spots, lacking comprehensive data at disaggregated level, which may undermine the effectiveness of climate change-related policies essential for achieving nationally determined contributions (NDCs) and net-zero goals. As ‘non-specified industries’ contribute more than 40% of emiss...

Recent changes in US trade and fiscal policies represent a threat to the global trading order and the domestic financial stability of the US economy, and ultimately the dominant reserve currency status of the dollar. This paper considers two alternatives. One is the shift to a multipolar reserve currency system involving other currencies, such as the euro and renminbi. However,...

The economic expansion of the People's Republic of China is the most rapid continuous increase by a major economy in world history. China has become an economic giant, the world’s second-largest economy based on GDP and the largest based on purchasing power parity. This study identifies major historical events across millennia relevant to China’s continual economic development....

The shadow economy includes economic activities that are not recognized and unregulated by public authorities. These activities cause significant challenges for policymakers by reducing tax revenue and weakening regulatory frameworks. Understanding the factors that influence the shadow economy is crucial for developing effective policies to mitigate its adverse effects. This s...

The paper explores a variety of data analytics methods—such as Benford’s Law for detecting manipulation, Markov Switching Models for economic cycle analysis, time-series anomaly detection for data integrity, and volatility analysis for stability—to assess the quality of economic data. It highlights the use of advanced techniques like Bayesian inference and resampling (e.g., boo...

The international system has shifted from unipolarity to multipolarity, with emerging powers like China, India, and the European Union gaining influence, reducing the dominance of Western-led institutions such as the World Bank and IMF, as evidenced by economic data like GDP growth and FDI trends. The study analyses this transition using Offensive Realism, which highlights powe...

The importance of reliable statistical data is even more urgent in the context of the coronavirus crisis, in terms of managing the risks for public health, restarting the world economy and addressing the long-term economic and social impact of the pandemic. Government lockdowns, social distancing and work from home restrictions, imposed to contain the spread of COVID-19, pose i...

The Indian economy is witnessing a paradigm shift in workforce dynamics due to fast adoption of the internet and increasing penetration of smartphones and digital platforms. The present study seeks to understand the economic contribution of gig economy from the perspective of Indian economy. It will assess the challenges posed by the gig economy for the workforce and to compreh...

Governments widely manipulate official economic and social data—but the public tends to disregard this fact. There is extensive empirical evidence that governments extensively manipulate official data. National statistical offices should be independent of their government to fight such manipulation, and alternative data producers should be supported. The public should be aware ...