Malaysia’s decision to adopt capital controls in September 1998 reminded the
world that there are alternatives to capital account liberalisation. Unfortunately,
there has been a tendency for both sides in the debate over the capital control
measures to exaggerate their own cases, with little regard for what actually
happened. After examining the cases made, and the actual events surrounding
the imposition of capital controls, the author concludes that the contribution of
the controls to Malaysia’s subsequent recovery cannot be conclusively
established. At worst, the controls may have discouraged not only foreign
portfolio investment, but also foreign direct investment—which may adversely
impact Malaysia’s medium-term competitiveness vis-à-vis the new industrialising
economies of Asia, including China and India.